B. U. G. S.

I was just talking about science (below) and the most relevant example I could find was Ben Franklin and electricity.

When they talk about the future of science or the future of politics people assume that the latest news is what is important.

After all, they say, today is a lot closer to tomorrow than history is. So the Latest Thing must be the best predictor of the Next Thing.

So we jazz up the news by pontificating on how the latest news event will affect the future. We completely forget whatever happened yesterday and our pontificating on how THAT would determine the future.

Which is silly, but it is the essence of news entertainment.

I have been dead right about every presidential election I have liived through since 1948 when I was seven years old.

I am comfortably retired on the income I made largely because I was right, and literally, on the money.

Others predict the next two decades by what just happened.

What I do is look at other periods in history that were decades long.

I strike the Latest Thing junkies as asurd. They strike me as absurd.

I’m usually right. They’re usually wrong.

That is also why I am absolutely uncanny in my predictions about elections. I made my living that way, so even a Practical Man must give it a little credit.

Actually, they didn’t give me credit. They gave me money.