One thing that destroys any attempt at real futurology is that it consistently ignores the obvious. This is because a professional expert is supposed to be in on details that only an expert would know about. It occurred to no one that the total absence of any prediction that the USSR was about to go out of business was a major, catastrophic failure on the whole industry of Sovietology. But if a professional Sovietologist had mixed up a street in Moscow with one in Kiev, it would have pointed at and disgraced him
Such a mistake in street names would have caused quite a hubbub. I have yet to read a thing about why all these pros missed the fact that the whole thing was about to go kaput.
What we hear in all such cases is, “let’s not start assigning blame.”
After all, the only people “qualified” to expose such total errors are other “professionals.” And all these professionals are totally forgiving of each other. No expert wants to be held to the standard of getting things RIGHT. Like Sovietologists, their job is always to make predictions that appeal to those presently in power.
Experts do not expect their predictions to be back checked. They do not back check each other. Their job has nothing to do with accuracy, so there is something vindictive about anyone who makes a point of such errors. “Assigning blame” is unprofessional.
#1 by Dave on 10/31/2008 - 5:05 pm
That’s why the 500-lumen minds showing through on the Internet become so unnerving.
Robert Whitaker is doing precisely what America’s intelligence agencies SHOULD BE DOING.
And that is getting a handle on the real future.
But there is a corollary to this problem, who and what organizations, if any, within the government and in finance are getting it right? That is very important intelligence in and of itself.
I marvel about the real intelligence that has come my way through pure accident. It flummoxes me. Data security is just lousy, unbelievably lousy.
When you lean how easy just one thread of data will work to get you where you need to be, the failures of the “experts” become all the more inexcusable.
#2 by shari on 11/01/2008 - 3:59 pm
The “experts” have been very professional and sophisticated at bumkiss,and or covering for each other, for years. All my life in fact. But now it looks like there are cracks in the Dam. Peter Brimelow posted a very interesting piece with video of Norbert Schlei. It’s possible that the too clever’s own words will haunt them. If I can see that it’s all been about destoying our race, and not fairness, nondiscrimination, then so can most people. In fact I’ve said to different ones that “you know, racism is not what you think it is. It’s not about being mean to non-whites, it’s ANTI-WHITE.
#3 by Prometheus on 11/01/2008 - 7:41 pm
Dave says “Robert Whitaker is doing precisely what America’s intelligence agencies SHOULD BE DOING.”
Prometheus says, He’s hosting a seminar so WE can do that.