The Seinfeld Show ran from 1990-1998, with one showing of its pilot in 1989.
In one of the earlier episodes, but not the first, a superefficient girl was talking to Seinfeld and talked about a number of things, including how to use e-mail. He was overwhelmed, and after she left he said to himself, “What’s e-mail?”
We are not talking about Mayberry here. This was a Yuppie in the middle of New York City.
In a later episode, but not nearly the last, Kramer says he wants his mail delivery to stop. The Post Office head admits there is no reason for the Post Office to exist any more, and one of the reasons given is e-mail.
To repeat, the show ran from 1990-1998.
That is a FAST turnaround.
So when we talk about the changes the Internet will bring, we had better talk about the Internet ET AL.
Only a few years ago, there were theories about a future in which people worked at home. My niece’s husband now works in California and lives in South Carolina. I spent three hours this week fixing my computer talking to several people in India – the dreaded “outsourcing.” Those guys are not working in India, they’re working HERE.
In the 1980s we were talking about genes and a far future in which they might even be able to look at them. Now it’s routine.
You know those human-looking animated characters they’ve developed for TV? They are still very identifiable as non-human, but you have to look close. In a few years they will simply take pictures of humans and manipulate them as they choose. You will see NEW episodes of I Love Lucy, and Lucy’s DEAD.
If you need something special today, where do you go to buy it? It used to be Macy’s or Gimble’s in the middle of New York City. Then it became the malls. Now it’s becoming the Internet.
What next?
Just how much longer are there going to BE big cities? Certainly they’re not getting bigger, and most of them have already become largely slave quarters for liberal minority voters.
When we talk about social security, it might be useful to talk about how much longer people are going to BE getting older.
And pretty soon we’ll have to stop panicking about those “engineered genes” and start deciding whether kids without egentic improvements can actually compete in a world where others are giving their children higher intelligence and more drive and better looks.
I think we better stop talking like latter-day Amish.
#1 by Don on 12/14/2004 - 10:26 am
RE: In a world where others are giving their children higher intelligence and more drive and better looks.
I hope they get the genes for character, common sense, and good judgement into the mix pretty quickly. God forbid that we should produce more brilliant PH.D. social scientests like the current crop.
#2 by Don on 12/14/2004 - 10:33 am
I do most of my stuff from home. Saves a lot of travel time and travel expenses
#3 by Antonio Fini on 12/14/2004 - 11:46 am
That’s a fact.
You know the deal on Star Trek where Captain Picard walks up to the little slot in the wall orders an Earl Grey tea and it materializes in front of him? It’s called molecular assembler technology and Dupont and Monsanto are both working on it.
One day there won’t be any Ebay or UPS. Merchants will simply be product designers who sell you software to create whatever hard goods you need out of basic chemicals assembled by special appliance in your home.
Maybe the third world won’t need to come here anymore when they can get all the benefits of Western civilization without living in the West. Not.
#4 by Richard L. Hardison on 12/15/2004 - 9:30 pm
While genetically modified plants are generally succesful (it is seriously questioned, however, whether we should be eating the stuff), plants are so much simplr than the lowest mammal that I doubt we will see any successful genetic modification of humans in our lifetime. We have played with embryonic stem cells and the results are utterly dismal to date, and they still haven’t figured out why.
We place too much trust in scientists and science. Science is not a religion. Research finds things and Engineers figure out how to use it and design stuff using it. According to a couple Genetic Engineers I’ve talked with it won’ be along in our lifetime so we don’t really have to worry about being modern Amish yet.
#5 by Trager Smith on 12/18/2004 - 5:54 am
Exactly what are you fighting for, Bob, than you won’t get just by waiting. Admittedly, there is a huge amount of wasteful things going on, from college education to welfare for welfare bums, but this “deadweight welfare loss,” as you called it in graduate school, couldn’t be more than 20% of GDP. But normal economic growth is about 3%/capita in real terms. There is no point protesting these things for more than seven years! Destroying our race, though, transcends any of this, but technologies coming down the pike are going to make current racial differences minor.